Orebro SKvs
Ljungskile SK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orebro SK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orebro SK 1-1 Ljungskile SK
Original prediction
Orebro SK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.6% | 35.9% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.8% | 29.3% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.6% | 34.8% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Orebro SK
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Orebro SK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80