Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IK brage · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orebro SK are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while IK brage are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IK brage hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Superettan, while IK brage holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IK brage
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60