Orebro SKvs
Falkenbergs FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/26/2026, 6:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falkenbergs FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orebro SK 1-0 Falkenbergs FF
Original prediction
Falkenbergs FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 33.4% | 28.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.7% | 26.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 40.0% | 45.1% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Falkenbergs FF
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Falkenbergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00