Ordinovs
Casa de Portugal
COMPLETEDAndorra · 1a Divisió · 9/13/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ordino 3-2 Casa de Portugal
Original prediction
Ordino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.4% | 41.8% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.0% | 27.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 38.6% | 31.1% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Ordino
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Ordino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrdinoWDWLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Casa de PortugalD
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
OrdinoCasa de Portugal
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.74xG1.11