Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ordabasy are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWDW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zhetysu are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 35.2-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
80.6%
Model confidence
80.6%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00