Ordabasyvs
Kyzyl-Zhar
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ordabasy 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ordabasy 3-0 Kyzyl-Zhar
Original prediction
Ordabasy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.6% | 74.6% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.9% | 17.2% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 7.25 | 12.5% | 8.2% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Projected Score
Ordabasy 2–0 Kyzyl-Zhar
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
74.6%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrdabasyWWWWL
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kyzyl-ZharDDWWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
OrdabasyKyzyl-Zhar
65.2Attack39.4
75.8Defence53.0
78.8Form36.4
74.3Power44.6
2.15xG0.50