Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Ordabasy are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kaspiy are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00