Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Ordabasy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Altay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
80.7%
Model confidence
19.2%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80