GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tocantinópolis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Oratório are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Tocantinópolis are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tocantinópolis hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (21.7 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Serie D, while Tocantinópolis holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tocantinópolis

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Tocantinópolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OratórioLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.75/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
TocantinópolisLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OratórioTocantinópolis
40.0Attack60.0
3.3Defence40.0
13.3Form40.0
21.7Power45.9
1.44xG2.55
View match centre →