GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Oratório are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Águia de Marabá are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (21.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

10.3%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OratórioLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Águia de MarabáWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OratórioÁguia de Marabá
40.0Attack59.5
3.3Defence59.5
13.3Form57.1
21.7Power58.9
0.93xG2.63
View match centre →