Orange County SCvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/19/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orange County SC are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50