GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orange County SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Antonio are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orange County SC

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orange County SCLWWDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
San AntonioDWWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Orange County SCSan Antonio
50.9Attack45.6
61.4Defence63.2
59.6Form56.1
59.6Power57.5
1.21xG0.96
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