GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Orange County SC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while New Mexico United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.6 against 61.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orange County SC

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

14.7%

Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orange County SCWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
New Mexico UnitedWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orange County SCNew Mexico United
50.9Attack52.1
61.4Defence64.6
59.6Form62.5
59.6Power61.2
1.15xG1.11
View match centre →