Orange County SCvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/12/2023, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orange County SC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Louisville City are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00