Orange County SCvs
Las Vegas Lights
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orange County SC 0-2 Las Vegas Lights
Original prediction
Orange County SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.2% | 47.3% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.9% | 24.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.9% | 28.0% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40