GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orange County SC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orange County SC

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orange County SCDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Las Vegas LightsLWWDL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
50.9Attack45.6
61.4Defence52.6
59.6Form45.6
59.6Power50.6
1.59xG0.94
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