GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 7/29/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tasmania Berlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Optik Rathenow are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tasmania Berlin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tasmania Berlin hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Tasmania Berlin holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tasmania Berlin

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Tasmania Berlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Optik RathenowLLWLD

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tasmania BerlinLWDLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Optik RathenowTasmania Berlin
54.0Attack55.2
32.2Defence47.1
39.1Form42.5
41.6Power48.2
1.86xG2.15
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