Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Optik Rathenow

Optik Rathenow

Home
L
13
Full time
BSC Süd 05

BSC Süd 05

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Optik Rathenow35%
Draw35%
BSC Süd 0530%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: BSC Süd 05
Win probability
Optik Rathenow
35%
Draw
35%
BSC Süd 05
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Optik Rathenow
34
BSC Süd 05
94
Defence
Optik Rathenow
6
BSC Süd 05
66
Momentum
Optik Rathenow
0
BSC Süd 05
100
Danger (xG)
Optik Rathenow
0.90
BSC Süd 05
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.37 xG for Optik Rathenow and 2.03 xG for BSC Süd 05 — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with BSC Süd 05 holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.40 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Optik Rathenow)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (BSC Süd 05)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Optik Rathenow)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (BSC Süd 05)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Optik RathenowOptik Rathenow
LD
BSC Süd 05BSC Süd 05
W

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Optik Rathenow35%
Draw35%
BSC Süd 0530%

Optik Rathenow leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Optik Rathenow Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Optik Rathenow host BSC Süd 05 in Friendlies Clubs. Optik Rathenow have recorded LLDLLL in recent matches while BSC Süd 05 arrive with a run of LWLDLW. These sides have met 7 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🔄 Head-to-Head Pattern These sides have drawn 4 of their last 7 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals per game — a historically tight fixture pattern that aligns with the model's draw projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.37 for Optik Rathenow and 2.03 for BSC Süd 05. The gap of 0.65 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Optik Rathenow have been conceding 2.89 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 4 of their last 7 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Optik Rathenow 0Draws 01 BSC Süd 05
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Optik Rathenow
L13
BSC Süd 05

Recent form

Optik Rathenow

Optik Rathenow

L
vs BSC Süd 05
15 Jul 2026
13
D
@ Viktoria Berlin
15 May 2026
11
BSC Süd 05

BSC Süd 05

W
@ Optik Rathenow
15 Jul 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Optik Rathenow vs BSC Süd 05?

GoalVio's model predicts Optik Rathenow to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Optik Rathenow vs BSC Süd 05?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Optik Rathenow vs BSC Süd 05?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Optik Rathenow vs BSC Süd 05?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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