Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oppsal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oppsal 3-0 Lyn II
Original prediction
Oppsal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 66.8% | 52.3% | -14.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 18.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.82 | 15.4% | 29.1% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Oppsal
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Oppsal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OppsalLLLWW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lyn IIWLDLD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OppsalLyn II
55.6Attack73.6
47.2Defence27.8
45.8Form47.2
50.4Power49.5
2.75xG2.27