Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malženice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Šoporňa are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Malženice are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Malženice hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Cup, while Malženice holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malženice
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
8.8%
Malženice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 1.33/3.33
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80