Operario-PR leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Operario-PR head into this in Serie B fixture in decent form (WW), while Novorizontino arrive in mixed form (LW). Operario-PR have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Novorizontino over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Operario-PR (82/100) and Novorizontino (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Operario-PR have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Novorizontino have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Operario-PR have generated 0.52 xG per game recently while conceding 2.22 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Novorizontino have generated 2.22 xG per game recently while conceding 0.52 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Operario-PR have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Operario-PR 3857%, Draw 2898%, Novorizontino 3245%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Recent form

Operario-PR

W

vs Novorizontino

12 Jul 2026

2–1

xG 0.5

W

@ Athletic Club

8 Jul 2026

1–0

W

vs America Mineiro

27 Jun 2026

1–0

W

@ Goias

21 Jun 2026

3–0

L

vs Nautico Recife

16 May 2026

1–3

Novorizontino

L

@ Operario-PR

12 Jul 2026

1–2

xG 2.2

W

vs Atletico Goianiense

4 Jul 2026

3–0

W

vs Vila Nova

26 Jun 2026

2–1

W

@ Ponte Preta

23 Jun 2026

2–0

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