Operario-PRvs
CRB
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Operario-PR · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Operario-PR 3-0 CRB
Original prediction
Operario-PR
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.8% | 38.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.9% | 26.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 31.3% | 34.7% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Operario-PR
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Operario-PR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80