Operario-PRvs
Ceara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Operario-PR · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Operario-PR 2-2 Ceara
Original prediction
Operario-PR
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 44.0% | 49.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.2% | 27.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.8% | 23.5% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Operario-PR
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Operario-PR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40