Operario-PRvs
Botafogo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/7/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Operario-PR · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP
Original prediction
Operario-PR
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.4% | 46.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 28.2% | 27.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 24.4% | 26.1% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Operario-PR
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Operario-PR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60