Operario-PRvs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Operario-PR · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Operario-PR 1-0 Athletic Club
Original prediction
Operario-PR
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.3% | 41.4% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.1% | 28.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.6% | 30.5% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Operario-PR
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Operario-PR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60