Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Opava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40