Opavavs
Arsenal Česká Lípa
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Opava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Opava 2-1 Arsenal Česká Lípa
Original prediction
Opava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.2% | 48.6% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 23.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.6% | 27.4% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Opava
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Opava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OpavaDLDDL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Arsenal Česká LípaDLWWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OpavaArsenal Česká Lípa
45.8Attack37.5
41.7Defence41.7
29.2Form37.5
40.9Power42.0
1.67xG1.24