Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Opatija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Opatija 1-0 Vukovar
Original prediction
Opatija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.9% | 41.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.3% | 29.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 31.9% | 29.2% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Opatija
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Opatija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OpatijaLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VukovarLWWDL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
OpatijaVukovar
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.44xG0.89