Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Opatija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Opatija 1-0 Sesvete
Original prediction
Opatija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.7% | 39.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.5% | 29.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.8% | 31.2% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Opatija
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Opatija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OpatijaDWLLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SesveteDLLWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OpatijaSesvete
37.5Attack33.3
54.2Defence57.1
33.3Form33.3
44.6Power43.4
1.09xG0.92