Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Opatija 0-0 Kustosija, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Opatija 1-1 Kustosija
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.9% | 35.8% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 31.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.8% | 32.4% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.20 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Opatija 0–0 Kustosija
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OpatijaWLLLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KustosijaLWLDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OpatijaKustosija
38.1Attack14.3
52.4Defence76.2
33.3Form28.6
44.2Power42.6
0.79xG0.78