GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/13/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lommel United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Oostende are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Lommel United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lommel United hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Challenger Pro League, while Lommel United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lommel United

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Lommel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OostendeDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Lommel UnitedDWDLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OostendeLommel United
35.6Attack54.9
56.7Defence66.7
42.2Form58.8
47.5Power60.7
0.73xG1.36
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