Onsalavs
Qviding FIF
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Onsala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Onsala 1-2 Qviding FIF
Original prediction
Onsala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.9% | 41.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 21.0% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.7% | 37.3% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Onsala
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Onsala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80