Onhayevs
Union Saint-Gilloise II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Saint-Gilloise II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Onhaye 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise II
Original prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.4% | 26.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.5% | 25.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.1% | 47.8% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Union Saint-Gilloise II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00