Onhayevs
Sporting Charleroi II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Charleroi II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Onhaye 2-4 Sporting Charleroi II
Original prediction
Sporting Charleroi II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.0% | 33.7% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 28.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.6% | 37.8% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Charleroi II
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Sporting Charleroi II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80