Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RWDM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Onhaye 0-1 RWDM
Original prediction
RWDM
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.61 | 25.0% | 28.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 25.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.2% | 45.9% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
RWDM
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
RWDM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OnhayeWLWLW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RWDMWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OnhayeRWDM
33.3Attack83.3
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
47.8Power89.7
1.25xG1.81