GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

One Knoxville 0-0 Westchester SC

Original prediction

One Knoxville

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6354.8%46.4%-8.4 pts
Draw3.8123.5%26.9%3.4 pts
Away4.1121.8%26.7%5.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Westchester SCWWLLL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
One KnoxvilleWestchester SC
54.3Attack56.8
61.7Defence44.4
58.0Form35.8
59.6Power45.5
2.04xG1.14
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