GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

One Knoxville are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union OmahaDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
One KnoxvilleUnion Omaha
57.9Attack56.7
63.2Defence63.3
63.2Form68.3
62.6Power64.7
1.36xG1.16
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