One Knoxvillevs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
One Knoxville 0-2 Spokane Velocity
Original prediction
One Knoxville
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.1% | 44.9% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 27.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.2% | 27.4% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60