GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/11/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Colorado · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

One Knoxville are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Northern Colorado are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Colorado hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the USL League One Cup, while Northern Colorado holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Colorado

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Northern Colorado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleDWLWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Northern ColoradoDDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
One KnoxvilleNorthern Colorado
25.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence63.3
25.0Form80.0
42.1Power76.3
0.85xG2.08
View match centre →