One Knoxvillevs
Naples
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
One Knoxville 0-0 Naples
Original prediction
One Knoxville
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.1% | 67.5% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 19.2% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.3% | 13.4% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00