One Knoxvillevs
Lexington
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 6/8/2024, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
One Knoxville are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lexington are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the USL League One Cup, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20