GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

One Knoxville are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Forward MadisonDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
One KnoxvilleForward Madison
56.7Attack66.7
63.3Defence64.9
61.7Form63.2
61.8Power64.5
1.27xG1.35
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