One Knoxvillevs
Chattanooga Red Wolves
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
One Knoxville 3-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Original prediction
One Knoxville
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.6% | 40.3% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 28.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.3% | 31.1% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60