GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/12/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

One Knoxville are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Central Valley Fuego are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

74.3%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Central Valley FuegoLWLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.25/1.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
One KnoxvilleCentral Valley Fuego
57.9Attack37.5
63.2Defence36.5
63.2Form24.0
62.6Power35.7
2.58xG0.70
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