USL League OneUSL League One
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:05
One Knoxville

One Knoxville

Home
WW
23
Full time
Alta

Alta

Away
LL
Regal Stadium
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
One Knoxville(41%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
One Knoxville
41%
Draw
35%
Alta
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
One Knoxville
73
Alta
18
Defence
One Knoxville
66
Alta
27
Momentum
One Knoxville
100
Alta
0
Danger (xG)
One Knoxville
1.80
Alta
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (One Knoxville)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Alta)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (One Knoxville)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Alta)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville
WWL
AltaAlta
LLWW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
One Knoxville41%
Draw35%
Alta24%

One Knoxville leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

One Knoxville head into this in USL League One fixture at Regal Stadium in decent form (WW), while Alta arrive in mixed form (LL). One Knoxville have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Alta over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. One Knoxville's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Alta defence (27/100), while Alta's attack is up against a solid One Knoxville backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in One Knoxville's favour.

One Knoxville have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Alta have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between One Knoxville and Alta in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects One Knoxville to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: One Knoxville 4131%, Draw 3500%, Alta 2369%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

One Knoxville

One Knoxville

W
vs Fort Wayne
15 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Boise
3 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Union Omaha
13 May 2026
12
Alta

Alta

L
@ Chattanooga Red Wolves
16 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Union Omaha
2 Jul 2026
13
W
vs Sarasota Paradise
11 Jun 2026
31
W
@ Sarasota Paradise
17 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win One Knoxville vs Alta?

GoalVio's model predicts One Knoxville to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Alta?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in One Knoxville vs Alta?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in One Knoxville vs Alta?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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