GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/23/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Once Municipal are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Municipal Limeño are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Municipal hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Primera Division, while Once Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Municipal

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Once Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once MunicipalWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Municipal LimeñoDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Once MunicipalMunicipal Limeño
35.5Attack26.7
58.7Defence53.3
42.8Form26.7
47.9Power37.7
1.09xG0.79
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