Once Caldasvs
Union Espanola
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Once Caldas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Espanola are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20