Once Caldasvs
Millonarios
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Once Caldas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Millonarios are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40