Once CaldasvsLa Equidad

Once Caldas are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while La Equidad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.