Once Caldasvs
Independiente del Valle
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/25/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Once Caldas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00